David Ullman, a professor at Oregon State University in Corvallis, Oregon, author, and owner of his own consulting firm, Robust Decisions, has published part two of his article, “The Electric Powered Aircraft,” that first appeared in Kitplanes’ October 2009 issue (see our October 18, 2009 entry, “Hear the Hum? Kitplanes Does”) . You won’t have to rush to the nearest bookstore for the sequel, since this is online in the Experimental Aircraft Association’s Experimenter.
A great deal of the Experimenter is fired up with speculation and skepticism about electric aircraft and their feasibility in the current issue, including an editorial by Patrick Panzera, long-time engine guru and editor of the e-zine. A great many of the readers’ comments have a “not ready for prime time” content, indicating that the writers don’t see electric aircraft as a practical reality any time soon. Despite Panzera’s guarded enthusiasm for electric craft (he attended EAS IV), others have more moderated views.
One notes, “I’m afraid that electric flight (even though an electric drive system will weigh less than a typical avgas firewall-forward complete package) will not be practical until they are powered by fuel cells capable of extracting as much chemical energy from fuel as exists in gasoline. And this probably won’t solve the carbon footprint problem, as energy-efficient fuel cells will most likely use hydrocarbon fuels.”
Another attempted to talk Panzera from attending the Symposium.
“Electric flight won’t work because it can’t work – the basic physics and chemistry are against it. The ‘energy density’ of any plausible combination of battery chemicals is just too low.
“That’s not to say there will never be a battery-powered plane, but they will never compete with a combustion engine.”
Ullman, in his article, is more optimistic, predicting the following by 2015:
Although he wrote those words over seven months ago, Ullman’s predictions seem like safe bets in the wake of EAS IV. The majority of the article is an excellent primer on motors, controllers, batteries and battery management systems. Considering the eventual reduction in battery size and weight likely to come, Ullman even hypothesizes an electric DC-3 – an AC/DC-3!
To show that Ullman is not just just a University theorist, here is his nearly completed Velocity, obviously bursting with the need to escape its garage hangar.